Analysis that cuts through uncertainty

Insight Forward publications provide clear, relevant and forward-looking intelligence on the issues that shape decisions for leaders and organisations.

Featured reports

The Lagged Shock

The Lagged Shock examines how a stronger 2026–27 El Niño, persistent Middle East disruption and attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure could combine to increase business exposure during 2027 to early 2028. The report assesses where higher energy, fertiliser, freight and grain-supply pressures could overlap with weaker crops, water systems and hydropower, identifies the countries and sectors most exposed through GERI, and sets out the operating indicators likely to move before the effects are fully visible in inflation, public finances or public-order data.

Changing World Order

How are middle powers responding to changing world order? They are not great powers, but they are no longer passive actors sitting between the United States, China, Europe, Russia, and other major centres of power. Their choices now shape supply chains, energy markets, technology controls, defence spending, investment screening, market access, logistics routes, and regulatory exposure. This shift is taking place against a revisionist America and a harder overall geopolitical environment.
 

The Revisionist Hegimon

The United States remains the world’s leading military, economic and geopolitical power, but it is increasingly willing to revise parts of the post-1945 order it helped create. This report uses the concept of the revisionist hegemon to explain how Washington is seeking to reshape trade, technology, alliances, legal institutions, sanctions, industrial policy and hemispheric strategy around sovereignty, strategic geography, industrial resilience, national power and transactional reciprocity.

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